Understanding National Security Threats Ahead: Key Predictions for 2026

The Future of U.S. National Security: Insights for 2026

As we approach the new year, CBS News contributors Samantha Vinograd and Christopher Krebs weigh in on the pressing national security threats America may face in 2026. With geopolitical tensions at an all-time high and the global landscape increasingly chaotic, understanding these challenges is crucial for both policymakers and citizens alike.

Assessing National Security Risks

Recent assessments, such as the Council on Foreign Relations' 2026 Conflict Risk Assessment, indicate that the U.S. must prepare for a world rife with potential conflict. Issues like the rising threat of military provocations among great powers, particularly between the U.S., China, and Russia, present real dangers. For instance, scenarios such as the intensification of the Russia-Ukraine war or direct U.S. actions in places like Venezuela have been marked as particularly concerning, with experts suggesting a high likelihood of occurrence in 2026.

The year 2025 witnessed the highest number of global conflicts since World War II, and many expect that trend to not only continue but escalate in the coming year.

Predictions from National Security Experts

An insightful perspective comes from the Council of Foreign Relations and their recent Preventive Priorities Survey, a collaborative effort that identifies and ranks potential national security threats. A staggering 28 out of 30 scenarios examined were assessed to have a probability exceeding 50% of occurring within the next 12 months. This indicates a sense of urgency that the public and policymakers must recognize.

Among the highlighted contingencies are renewed hostilities in conflict zones like Gaza, which continues to stir humanitarian crises, and increasing tensions in the Korea peninsula. Thus, experts emphasize the need for strategic foresight and the importance of coming legislative measures to address these emerging threats.

The Role of Technology in National Security

As the geopolitical landscape evolves, so does the importance of technology in national security. According to a recent report, 2026 is expected to be a pivotal year for national security technology, with experts predicting significant advancements in areas like AI, as well as the commercialization of military tech through public-private partnerships.

Key initiatives within the Department of War (DoW) are expected to define 2026, such as the potential launch of several national security-focused companies. Not only will the DoW be looking to reform how it acquires tech, but it is also anticipated that at least three VC-backed companies within the national security sector could go public, signaling a growing excitement among investors.

Preparing for Potential Conflicts

With the growing likelihood of increased conflicts, experts are calling for the U.S. government and its military to adapt to the changing threats posed by state and non-state actors alike. Strategies to enhance readiness and resilience are necessary to address not only emerging threats but also to maintain U.S. interests abroad.

As highlighted in both the CFR’s and expert analyses, the military's engagement in proactively managing emerging conflicts is essential. Developing capabilities, both technologically and strategically, will prove paramount as threats evolve.

Calls for Engagement

As citizens, it’s important to remain informed not only about the potential threats we face as a nation but also about the varying perspectives on these issues. Engaging with news sources that offer comprehensive views on national security will empower individuals to better understand the layers of complexity surrounding these global challenges.

With the New Year approaching, now is the time to reflect on the potential changes in our national and global security landscape. As we look forward, the role of informed citizen engagement in national conversations becomes increasingly vital.

Stay engaged with the latest news and be proactive in understanding the dynamic world of national security. Our responsibility extends beyond merely observing; it requires active participation in discussions shaping our country’s future.